Week Three:  Introduction to Causal Analysis

Class on February 8 will be a review and make-up for anyone who did not complete the first quiz or the first workbook exercise, or who did poorly on them and wants to catch up, or for anyone wanting help on this week's assignments.  It will be held in BSB 108.

Assignments Due before class on February 11.  Quiz Three . You may take this quiz twice and the highest score will count.  It will cover Chapter Four of the Babbie book with some repeat items on Chapters One and Fourteen.  Due on February 8.  Ayers, Exercise 3.  You may enter your answers into SAKAI as often as you wish through February 8.  May be handed in on paper on February 11.

Reading: 

1. Babbie, Chapter Four
2. Exit Poll Results for the New Jersey Democratic and Republican Primary Election

Course Materials and Notes:

1. Cause and Effect Powerpoint, in Sakai
2. Chapter Four Powerpoint, in Sakai

                                  Age at Marriage and Likelihood of Ever Being Divorced by Income at Age Sixteen

           Income at Age 16                               Below Average                        Average                         Above Average
               Age at Marriage                               <20  20+                               <20  20+                             <20   20+

    Ever Divorced?  Yes                                  41.5%  28.3%                         36.9% 18.6%                  34.3%  19.9%
  
                               No                                  58.5%  71.7%                         63.1%   81.4%               65.7%   80.1%

                         Total                                    100%  100%                           100%     100%               100%     100%
                           N =                                   (270) (520)                              (417) (859)                     (99)       (297)
                           p =                                        .000                                            .000                              .000


                      People who marry before age 20 are more likely to have experienced a divorce or separation, regardless of their family income when they were 16 years old.