Is peace officer mortality higher during prohibition policy enforcement?

Observations and alternatives

Police deaths by gunshot and total line of duty deaths for the 20th century followed by supporting materials.

YEAR Intentional Gunfire
Deaths
Total Line of
Duty Deaths
19004966
19015768
190267 84
1903 58 75
1904 53 71
1905 46 62
1906 48 67
1907 71 89
1908 90 116
1909 49 64
1910 66 82
1911 93 114
1912 80 94
1913 78 106 1
1914 82 111
1915 95 119
1916 108 150
1917 103 157 2
1918 104 149
1919 152 195 3
1920 142 185 4
1921 161 223
1922 156 222
1923 140 209
1924 163 241
1925 145 226
1926 160 225
1927 144 244
1928 151 240
1929 141 255
1930 172 285
1931 163 259
1932 156 262
1933 147 219 5
1934 131 225
1935 115 208
1936 86 182
1937 73 177
1938 87 184
1939 59 121
1940 51 120
1941 62 141
1942 46 116
1943 40 86
1944 40 87
1945 51 109
1946 60 130
1947 69 122
1948 58 133
1949 50 100
1950 47 109
1951 48 125
1952 58 118
1953 53 115
1954 62 129
1955 41 117
1956 36 104
1957 56 119
1958 43 106
1959 42 107
1960 48 128
1961 55 131
1962 59 137
1963 60 134
1964 62 147
1965 61 136
1966 64 159
1967 84 184
1968 76 191
1969 99 189
1970 107 2206
1971 140 241
1972 120 228
1973 143 265
1974 139 278
1975 142 240
1976 105 200
1977 95 187
1978 100 216
1979 111 214
1980 104 208
1981 93 201
1982 90 194
1983 80 193
1984 71 181
1985 77 179
1986 75 178
1987 74 180
1988 80 194
1989 69 196
1990 61 161
1991 73 148
1992 65 169
1993 77 162
1994 81 179
1995 70 184
1996 60 142
1997 68 176
1998 64 175
1999 44 151
2000 50 163
2001 65 2427
2002 57 159
2003 47 147
2004 55 163
2005 53 161
2006 50 147
2007 63 180
2008 1 4Per 1/14/2008
Based on numbers at the Officers Down Memorial web page.
http://www.odmp.org/index.php
*citations from History of Alcohol Prohibition
http://www.druglibrary.org/schaffer/LIBRARY/studies/nc/nc2a.htm

1 Income tax adopted. 50% of states are dry and temporance org.s band together to lobby for a national alcohol prohibition
2 The 18th Amendment is introduced in the Congress
3Jan. 18th Amendment ratified by a majority of states
4 Jan. 20 The National Prohibition begins (By midsummer of 1920, federal courts in Chicago were overwhelmed with some 600 pending liquor violation trials (Sinclair, 1962: 176-177). Within three years, 30 prohibition agents were killed in service.
5 Jan. End Prohibition
6 Controlled Substances Act
7 World Trade Center terror attack



Drug Enforcement and Crime: (PDF)
"The findings that conflict most strongly with the traditional law enforcement view involve the manufacture, sale, and possession of "harder" drugs separate from marijuana. Increases in per capita arrests for the manufacture and sale of "hard drugs" are accompanied by higher reported rates for all types of violent and property crime assessed above. Increased arrests for possession are associated with the primarily economic crimes of robbery, burglary and larceny."

November, 2003
by Edward M. Shepard, and Paul Blackley
Economics Department, LeMoyne College

U.S. Conference of Mayors call for end to the War on Drugs

"NOW, THEREFORE, BE IT RESOLVED that the United States Conference of Mayors believes the war on drugs has failed..."

The mayors continued: "...and calls for a New Bottom Line in U.S. drug policy, a public health approach that concentrates more fully on reducing the negative consequences associated with drug abuse, while ensuring that our policies do not exacerbate these problems or create new social problems of their own; establishes quantifiable, short- and long-term objectives for drug policy; saves taxpayer money; and holds state and federal agencies accountable..."


Violence and the U.S. Prohibitions of drugs and alcohol
Jeffrey A. Miron, Professor of Economics, Department of Economics, Boston University, http://econ.bu.edu/miron/

"This paper examines the relation between prohibitions and violence using the historical behavior of the homicide rate in the United States. The results document that increases in enforcement of drug and alcohol prohibition have been associated with increases in the homicide rate, and auxiliary evidence suggests this positive correlation reflects a causal influence of the prohibition enforcement on homicide. controlling for other potential deteriments of the homicide rate - the age composition of the population, the incarceration rate, economic conditions, gun availability, and the death penalty - does not alter the conclusion that drug and alcohol prohibition have substantially raised the homicide rate in the United States over much of the past 100 years."

American Law and Economics Review, 1, Fall 1999, 78-114.
http://econ.bu.edu/miron/images/homicide.pdf

"The homicide rate was high in the 1920-1933 period, when constitutional prohibition of alcohol was in effect, as it was in the 1970-1990 period, when drug prohibition was enforced to a stringent degree. After repeal of alcohol prohibition, the homicide rate dropped quickly and remained low during a period when drug prohibition, although in existence, was not vigorously enforced. And the homicide rate was lowest at the beginning of the sample, when neither alcohol nor drug prohibition existed at the federal level and only in a minor way at the state level."

©Jeffrey Miron


Actual and projected expenditures. Text does not clearly distinguish which is which.

©Jeffrey Miron


Alternatives to Prohibition:

Programme for a Medical Prescription of Narcotics:
Final Report of the Research Representatives

Criminal activity

Income from illegal and semi-legal activities decreased dramatically: 10% as opposed to 59% originally.
Both the number of offenders and the number of criminal offences decreased by about 60% during the first six months of treatment (according to information obtained directly from the patients' and from police records).
Court convictions also decreased significantly (according to the central criminal register).


UPDATE: Swiss Info.org, (Swiss government information service) September 4, 2006
Swiss heroin model reporting benefits

"A number of studies have found that Switzerland's heroin-assisted treatment plans help ease the scourge of addiction for users and society.

Initially met with criticism and apprehension, the Swiss model is now attracting the interest of other countries.

Programmes for the administration of heroin under medical supervision are still viewed warily by the World Health Organization, which is heavily influenced by governments with repressive drug policies, principally the United States."
(snip)

"In the beginning, people worried that the Swiss government's liberal policy would attract even more people to heroin. Those fears have proved unfounded," Nordt stressed.

Nordt and Stohler's research shows that in the canton of Zurich, home to more than a fifth of Switzerland's addicts, there were 850 new heroin users in 1990 but just 150 in 2002.

Such a downward curve is not found in other countries, especially those that have tried to crack down on drugs. In Britain and Australia, drug use rose during the same period. In Italy, it vacillated from one year to the next, but the Zurich researchers view that data as incomplete.

"In Switzerland, the medicalisation of heroin use has helped change the image of users: from rebels to losers," Nordt said. "In the eyes of the young, they're mostly just sick people, forced to get medical help."

Reduced consequences

The harm reduction policy followed by the Swiss authorities has also been successful in reducing heroin-related deaths, which have fallen by more than half over the course of a decade, and the transmission of Aids.

And there is more good news concerning the fight against crime and prostitution.

"Compared with countries like Britain, where crime is very often linked to substance abuse, this trend has almost disappeared in Switzerland over the last few years," said Nordt.


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