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Statistical Analysis
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Some articles that appeared on the “News Clips” portion of the website of JurEcon Inc. where Jim Press worked that relate to Statistical Analysis Inc. Jurimetrics Article In response to a call from The Los Angeles Times, Orange County Edition, with respect to a case he was involved with, Dr. Jim Press wrote an article published in Jurimetrics (Winter, 1994). In this article he presented a probability model which addressed the perennial dispute about whether a sudden interruption in a jury trial substantially affects the outcome. Dr. Press concludes that "as the length of trial interruption increases, the strength of a juror's belief about a 'guilty' verdict for the accused decreases..." Dr. Press argues that even if jurors' opinions about guilt or innocence remain unchanged during the hiatus, "their memories become less reliable...," making it more difficult for them to recall the facts and arguments that led them to support the conclusions they had previously reached. "...[T]he chances for a hung jury should increase...Furthermore, after a hiatus in the trial, it will take quite a bit more evidence to make the jurors feel confident about their decision. Lacking this confidence, they may feel 'reasonable doubt' about their beliefs. Delay appears to be on the side of the defendant..." __________________________________________________________________ Jury Selection for Paul, Hastings, Janofsky & Walker JurEcon assisted Paul, Hastings, Janofsky & Walker attorneys Geoffrey L. Thomas and Ronald M. Oster in a complex insurance matter. Said Geoffrey Thomas: "One of the most valuable things we did in a multi-million dollar insurance coverage case was to consult JurEcon and Dr. Jim Press. Specifically, we wanted to identify (1) the types of jurors who would be most responsive to our asbestos manufacturing client, and (2) which handful of arguments among scores of possible arguments would appeal most to those jurors. We followed Jim's advice very closely on what kind of jurors to challenge and what kind to accept, which arguments to eliminate and which to emphasize, and how to deal with the detrimental aspects of this case, that is, how to put our best foot forward. "I found the interest and input from Jim Press and JurEcon to be exceptionally helpful. They significantly shaped the presentation we made in a five month trial, by refining, clarifying and enhancing the presentation of complex issues into concepts which lay jurors could relate and believe." December 1988 Geoffrey Thomas added, "While much of what we learned was particular to the specific location and time, other things we learned had a lot of value in subsequent cases involving the same kind of subject matter." January 21, 2003 __________________________________________________________________ Age Discrimination Case for
Munger, Tolles & Olson “You recommended Dr. S. James Press, who has an excellent background and who proved to be extremely responsive. Although the time remaining before the projected trial date was very short. Dr. Press dug into the figures and completed two regression analyses in record time. I was also impressed with the dedicated work of JurEcon’s research assistant, who reviewed many of our clients' files to insure that the information for the statistical analysis was accurate and reliable. "Ultimately, Dr. Press determined that there was no statistical correlation between applicants' ages and their rate of hiring by our client. His analysis of the company’s hiring pattern was very thorough and persuasive, notwithstanding the fact that he and his assistant had less than a month to gather the information, conduct the analysis and graph the results in a form which could he presented to a jury. JurEcon’s team was very professional in its approach to the problem presented. Their work contributed significantly to the overall trial preparation.” (1988) Mr. Edmundson is now with Howrey Simon Arnold & White in Los Angeles. |
Last modified: 1/27/2008 |