Southern California Commuters Forum

 

September 2, 2005

Board of Directors

Los Angeles Metropolitan Transportation Authority

One Gateway Plaza, 15th Floor
Los Angeles, CA 90012

 

Dear Board Member;

The Southern California Commuters Forum (SCCF) is a group of independent citizens who are daily users of the transportation system provided by the LA MTA.  As such, we have recently reviewed the last LA MTA Long Range Transportation Plan and  wish to make the following comments to the LA MTA board of directors.

 

 

The LRTP states that with the plan, average highway speeds will drop from an unattractive current 35 mph to a dismal 20 mph. This can only be described as a plan for disaster. We therefore find the LRTP to be wholly inadequate to meet the needs of the LA region.

 

Several major studies continue to rate the LA region as having the worst congestion in the nation. The LRTP not only does not address the issue of improving this situation, but predicts  commute traffic will deteriorate by a whopping 49 percent. We wonder how the board can consider this plan to be anything but a failure.

 

We note that the impacts of the traffic predictions on the community are  not addressed.  We believe that the impact of slowing from 35 to 20 mph will be catastrophic to the business, commercial and social life of the region. The impact of such a critical infrastructure   loss cannot help but reflect in an unsustainable economy.

 

We note that while the report describes growth in commuting transit share from 8.5 to a 14.7 percent (which prediction we doubt), the report ignores the fact that two thirds of the projected 35 percent growth in travel will be born by automobiles. But only 12 percent of  funds will be allocated to these  two thirds. We also note that commuting (to work) represents only a third of total traffic and that  for total traffic the transit share is much  smaller. If congestion will last all day, counting only commuters is deceptive.

 

We note that over 87 percent of the expected funds to be spent in the next 25 years will be spent on transit. For every dollar intended for transit only 12 cents will be spent on highways and arterials. This imbalance flies in the face of the opposite statistic; for every transit rider there are 12 auto riders.

 

National highway and transit statistics show that investment in road and highway expansion is more than 20 times more cost effective than transit in terms of transportation (person-miles) per public dollar.  In other words, for a given limited availability we could, on the average, buy 20 times more benefit in terms of congestion, travel-time, and associated air quality investing in roads and highways than with transit.

 

We note the discussion on the so called promise of a smart growth policy. We observe that the projected transit share would approach that of New York City. Considering the heart of the NY transportation system is a 300 mile subway which covers a much smaller area than that of LA, we find this  projection pollyannic. And NY traffic is far worse than what you project will become of LA  with smart growth. Further, the report only hints at the social, financial, and commercial upheaval of forcing a such a policy.  What for example are the costs of subsidizing smart growth patterns?. We believe in reducing building restrictions to allow the market to operate: but not in forcing the market to a questionable end. 

 

Since about 1992, Portland, Oregon has been the poster boy example for smart growth policies supposed to improve traffic congestion.  With what result?  According to the Texas Transportation Institute’s annual reports, out of the 90 major US cities they monitor, Portland now shares with Denver, the dubious distinction of worst congestion growth over the 1992-2003 period (22%),  as measured by their Travel Time Index.

 

We do not believe the LA MTA has adequately considered other alternatives, particularly those based on significantly improving and expanding the road network.  What, we ask, would be the outcome if  87 percent of the transportation funds went to highways and 12 percent to transit. Your first reaction may be that such a move would be enormously disruptive. But we do not believe you have properly considered the disruptions that will be caused by 20 mph speed or heavily forcing a smart growth policy.  We reject the baseless "conventional wisdom" that “we cant build more roads.  We can, ROW has a high price, but that price is on the average significantly less in dollars, acres, and disruption than the cost of equivalent transit capacity. 

 

We urge the LA MTA to reconsider its current plan and address the issue of  what it would realistically take to provide a satisfactory transportation system for the future. We believe that such a plan could only be achieved by first correcting the lopsided allocation between transit and rods.

 

Sincerely Yours

 

 

G W Egbert

Southern California Commuters Forum

17333 Tramanto

Pacific Palisades, CA 90272

SS

 

 

 

 

 


 [AJM1] Ref:  www.urbantransport.org/ costcomp.pdf