Is there a housing bubble in the Phoenix, Arizona area? If so, is it bursting?

This graph shows 18 years of residential real estate prices...

Phoenix Metro Area House Prices

The above chart estimates the market value of today's median-priced Phoenix, Arizona metropolitan area house from 1989 until present. The red line represents inflation-adjusted house prices. The blue line represents nominal house prices.

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Data sources and methodology:

The chart on this page estimates the market value of today's median-priced house over a 18-year period. The trailing nominal prices are derived by taking the recent median price of existing single-family homes, as reported by the National Association of Realtors, and discounting it by the S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Index. The S&P/Case-Shiller HPI is a "constant quality" index, so even though houses are built larger today than they were 18 years ago, this graph automatically adjusts for this variation. The trailing real prices are then derived by adjusting the nominal prices by the CPI - All items less shelter.


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This Web site was created by James Harrison Parsons.